Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 768.450278 868.149921 979.603974 1114.135551 1273.054111 1455.952952 1684.040789
2025-03-23 624.866666 756.888722 918.462520 1133.659085 1417.231177 1784.636032 2307.696792
2025-03-30 529.639211 668.076917 846.819730 1099.647386 1456.709330 1956.919573 2737.312370
2025-04-06 462.874189 602.441983 790.345303 1069.231628 1486.120276 2109.943619 3164.288847
2025-04-13 410.119940 547.314723 738.363789 1033.349667 1495.818919 2228.177353 3556.941893
2025-04-20 386.364726 528.829675 734.161482 1064.455945 1609.012367 2525.838944 4326.192055
2025-04-27 360.991595 504.716343 717.984968 1073.344909 1685.637277 2774.680635 5075.384422
2025-05-04 342.086367 487.926007 710.374731 1093.765798 1783.391284 3078.969184 6029.360895
2025-05-11 324.528012 471.267229 700.738955 1108.685026 1872.513452 3384.245976 7089.995382
2025-05-18 314.143211 464.662070 706.179802 1149.682143 2016.241617 3831.058417 8662.123833
2025-05-25 299.426103 449.692759 696.027800 1160.901940 2102.967472 4175.831259 10119.626026
2025-06-01 282.995189 430.523644 676.812000 1152.622526 2147.933379 4435.891817 11456.089756
2025-06-08 265.623207 409.250702 653.382942 1136.200417 2179.093958 4686.781193 12952.368679
2025-06-15 254.732716 398.260350 647.376023 1153.766258 2290.106350 5175.676295 15578.497095
2025-06-22 237.731632 375.351500 617.604481 1119.337216 2275.221885 5324.962224 17056.172607
2025-06-29 222.802922 355.036703 590.916058 1088.180460 2262.967418 5479.984916 18680.471586
2025-07-06 208.527737 334.949812 563.074651 1051.498997 2231.312115 5571.333498 20112.551883
2025-07-13 203.785941 331.641694 566.770226 1083.303217 2378.421029 6259.221010 25015.478940
2025-07-20 196.736825 323.608354 560.586411 1092.393125 2468.214693 6796.506668 29755.584980
2025-07-27 191.462648 318.481467 559.656475 1113.276987 2594.614601 7510.639275 36508.836972
2025-08-03 185.942228 312.507850 556.495465 1128.535985 2708.696728 8230.030327 44468.627636
2025-08-10 183.311003 311.835879 564.065659 1170.473211 2911.088629 9391.638020 58214.846379
2025-08-17 177.982096 305.592084 559.494286 1181.951915 3023.427028 10238.790942 71318.866269